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Many people have written about the heavy cost of ethanol in the environment and food prices, so I'm not going to get into that, what I want to get into is how investors can take these realities and profit from them. Because ethanol has foolishly become a political initiative, it'll take a lot to happen before the misguided program and subsidies are taken off the table. We can count on that. For that reason, there will be many opportunities for those investing in commodities, and specifically in agricultural commodities going forward.
The major things to watch in relationship to this is how much corn acreage is being planted, and how much less acreage is available for other crops. That will largely determine price movements. So if corn acreage planted is increased in a substantial way, then we will need to lack at what crop or crops have less acreage available, and will experience less supply. Of course having said all that, demand still drives things, so even if there is less acreage, the demand side must be taken into account, as less acreage could also be because of slowing demand.
But if the artificial use of land based solely on corn grown for ethanol is a key part of the picture, and those crops directly affected by that, while still being in high demand, is what we need to look for. Correctly identifying crops in demand, while having less acreage to be planted on, will reveal to us which agricultural commodities will rise in price. Don't get confused by this. All of this is still supply and demand. It's just that the ethanol policies of the U.S. have created circumstances where corn will take up more acreage, interfering in the normal market supply and demand equation. So closely following these circumstances, and investing accordingly will help build up significant wealth until the misguided ethanol subsidies are dropped.
